2023 MAMA Award predictions update.

NewJans will get Artist of the Year, Female Artist of the Year, Song of the Year, Dance performance of the year.... OMG

I wonder if MAMA give artist of the year to NewJeans. I’m leaning towards no if they’re already getting song of the year

Wouldn’t be surprised if NCT Dream, Stray Kids or Seventeen get it. Maybe Seventeen as it’s in Japan and they’ll have the most fans there

Once we get attendance will make more sense as no BTS to dominate every metric so they have the leeway to distribute how they’d like which you know they prefer

Quote from Catgirl

NewJeans will get Artist of the Year, Female Artist of the Year, Song of the Year, Dance performance of the year.... OMG

I hope so as they deserve it based on objective metrics. But 40% weighting for judge's subjective scoring will have me watching it with an eyebrow raised like a rigged survival show.

Quote from BlackpinkHouse

Yeah, the judges getting 40 percent means Ditto is not guaranteed to get SOTY, I AM and Seven are both within striking distance and it wouldnt even be that unreasonable if either of them won (Ditto got a 4 month head start on I AM and 7 month head start on Seven, if all were released in April or July, it would be a dead heat). I think this is why judges are there, to account for the inherent unfairness in the way they tally their points (songs releasing in Jan or even last Dec getting much more time than songs releasing in Sept).

SOTY irrelevant. Either Ditto or Seven will get it. Spotify being the official sponsors for the award show means there might be some bias to push songs that did well on there so I definitely don’t see Ive winning anyhow.

Artist of the Year is the biggest award and I just don’t think they’ll give it to a girl group if there’s a chance for the biggest bg there to win it.

OHHH the nominations are rn so that's why everyone is talking abt it

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Nominations so far.

new criteria for mama:

Categories based on singer/group:

judges 20% - streaming 40% (25% domestic + 15% global) - album sales 40%

Categories based on genre:

judges 20% - streaming 80% (50% domestic + 30% global)

Quote from TPHF

new criteria for mama:

Categories based on singer/group:

judges 20% - streaming 40% (25% domestic + 15% global) - album sales 40%

Categories based on genre:

judges 20% - streaming 80% (25% domestic + 30% global)

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what awards are categories based on genre?

JK may clear everyone on this criteria

Quote from hieuken

what categories base on genre ?

JK may clear everyone on this criteria

best vocal performance solo/group

best dance performance solo/group

best rap and hiphop

best collab

best ost

would be these based on last year I think. Perhaps they added new ones

Quote from Kitty_Saurus

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Nominations so far.

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NO 50/50?!?!?!?

Quote from ThePhantomThief

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NO 50/50?!?!?!?

Unfortunately, they were not nominated.

Only 20% judges scoring and factoring in YT, Spotify and circle all towards digital performance-

Quote from KpopJop

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The Album of the Year change is massive.. sales don't count at all suddenly. It also doesn't specify which chart is used for this 80% download/stream. Circle Global K-Pop chart probably..? This award would have been going by default to Seventeen or SKZ with extremely high sales but that might go very differently now. NewJeans/JK should be serious contenders now.

EDIT: Did they just slightly change Artist of the Year to make it impossible for NewJeans to win it? Classic MAMA. Nope, about the same

I do like that they are greatly reducing the impact of judge scores though.

AROTY NJ would lead with streaming and downloads but since SVT and SKZ sell more. Judges score will carry.

AOTY gives IVE advantages but it depend if they nominated get up or not

They won't give the rookie award to 5050 and Triple S is not strong so they will just give one rookie award to ZB1

And given Min heejin's attitude, I predict MAMA will give NJ a "Best Influence Award", aka Lifetime Achiemement Award, making Lee Hyein the youngest Lifetime Achievement Award winner.

Just keep in mind that some of the 'predictions' will be off due to the change in criteria.

Some groups will still be up there, some groups will drop quite a fair bit in the running (Stray Kids on Album for example).

It's the same mistake from last year.

Yeah just changed it.

Nevemind, back to a BG winning Album.

It's mathematically impossible for Ditto not to get SOTY with the changes.

But ArOTY seems...bleak. Mnet judges will pick a boy group like they have for the past 12 years.

*sigh*

If ADOR and Mnet are still beefing, there is 0% chance NJ wins that, even though they clearly are the artists of the year to anyone who's paid attention to Kpop this year

Quote from BlackpinkHouse

Wut? The difference between I AM and Ditto is only 17ish points. If I AM gets a 20 and Ditto gets a 2, I AM wins... i think.

If NewJeans attends and loses SOTY to IVE, I'll chance to an IVE pfp and signature for the rest of the year

new updates

Do y'all think BTS is still gonna win World Wide Icon of the Year?

Fifty Fifty not nominated for female rookie of the year... It just does not feel right to me

If NJ attend, I hope they get their deserved SOTY.

Quote from BlackpinkHouse

Yeah, the judges getting 40 percent means Ditto is not guaranteed to get SOTY, I AM and Seven are both within striking distance and it wouldnt even be that unreasonable if either of them won (Ditto got a 4 month head start on I AM and 7 month head start on Seven, if all were released in April or July, it would be a dead heat). I think this is why judges are there, to account for the inherent unfairness in the way they tally their points (songs releasing in Jan or even last Dec getting much more time than songs releasing in Sept).

Good point.

I am fine with a win for all these 3. They did well.

Quote from gamma

Fifty Fifty not nominated for female rookie of the year... It just does not feel right to me

Agree. They should have been.

Unfortunately, that brand is poison now, especially in Korea.

Really sad thing for a group with such a success story.

All these changes are too beneficial to NJ, looks like an olive branch being offered to them. Do you think they will attend?