Who will be NewJeans' chief rival? 28
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Baemon (4) 14%
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IVE (15) 54%
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Le Sserafim (7) 25%
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Stray Kids (1) 4%
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Our Old Friend who derailed aespa in 2021 (1) 4%
I listened to Baemon's debut song and was not impressed.
It seems the debut was rushed , following Ahyeon's departure and the uncertainty on BlackPink's contract renewal.
You don't get to have a second chance to build a first impression, and with no clear focus on the nationalities, it is like a salad bowl with three nationalities playing their own game.
BlackPink was 2:1:1(Thailand):1(Oz/NZ), and Twice was 5:2:1:1 (Korean 5, Japanese 2, Taiwanese 1, American 1 (Sharon was American at debut) , and aespa was 2:1:1. NewJeans is 3:1:1 (technically 3:2 but the only thing Pham Ngoc Han and Danielle Marsh have in common is the color of their passports).
2;2:2 seems to be unstable. Without a clear dominant faction it will just divide into cliques.
Next year, with BTS in the dungeon, NewJeans will have several challenges. It seems the challenges from Baemon seems to be manageable.
It has threats from IVE, Le Sserafim and Stray Kids, but at least in Korea its grip seems to be secure.
In fact I am afraid its greatest 2024 rival might be the singer who caused sorrow to so many acts, starting from Big Bang all the way to aespa. Our Old Friend, who debuted before the youngest member of Baemon was born, will challenge Kpop again earlier next year and seems there is no more act which can stop Our Old Friend, so N,instead of fighting their newer rivals, might have to deal with Our Old Friend whose victory against NJ would once again put Kpop to the bad old days.