BABYMONSTER debut achievement prediction [Melon,YT,Spotify]
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They not gonna chart good in Korea. Group that have more foreigners than Koreans and probably stong hip hop concept. Yt views and spotify gonna be very good.
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What will i get if i get the prediction right?
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If anything their Spotify number debut might be a little higher for a debut song at 800-1m stream. But melon I doubt they will even get 250k ul IMO with how ULs are rn
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1. This is a debut of a highly anticipated girl group so top 20 in the debut hour, and within two days of release, they would reach no.1 spot on every chart. The current charts are more flexible than before, with the ULS ceiling at 250k-300k.2. Top 50 global debut with 2.2 million filtered streams. Only TXT, Le Sserafim, IVE, NMIXX, Kep1er and NJ have entered the charts with their debut (aside from TXT, the others took some days and virality/traction to enter). With the hype of BM and Spotify’s global growth in 2023, it is likely they will enter the top 50.3. A full MV with 3.2 million views for its teaser could potentially receive around 19.1 million views in the first 24 hours. Please note that ads are not factored in here.
The hype was huge, but I never realized it was a 12am release welp. \/
Anyway, YT views were a slay like my prediction...!
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Melon - #1 first day
YT - 80 mill first day
Spotify I dont know what's good so 2M of whatever we're counting.
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Hard hitting songs like Baddie and Drama are doing so well on kr charts rn so there's a high chance BM's snog will be well-received too. They timing is perfect when the chart is getting weaker
Prediction:
Spotify: around #50-100
Youtube: 10-15M first 24h (maybe more because this will be their best performing platform)
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1. This is a debut of a highly anticipated girl group so top 20 in the debut hour, and within two days of release, they would reach no.1 spot on every chart. The current charts are more flexible than before, with the ULS ceiling at 250k-300k.
2. Top 50 global debut with 2.2 million filtered streams. Only TXT, Le Sserafim, IVE, NMIXX, Kep1er and NJ have entered the charts with their debut (aside from TXT, the others took some days and virality/traction to enter). With the hype of BM and Spotify’s global growth in 2023, it is likely they will enter the top 50.
3. A full MV with 3.2 million views for its teaser could potentially receive around 19.1 million views in the first 24 hours. Please note that ads are not factored in here.
Their release timing won't get them 2.2M filtered streams on first day
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All this activity for a group that you've no idea what the music will be like.
It's this great reinforcement circle. They're just like any other group and should be judged on their merits, but solely because they're YG you've all convinced yourselves this is a group to watch.
Another mid group with mid music, most likely, carried by kpop's slavish devotion to FOMO on big labels. Spineless behaviour once again.
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Another mid group with mid music
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Havent' debuted yet, you've no idea what the music will sound like, and you're slurping.
Lol raise a glass to you supporting a criminal and a creep. Can't even "I juST LiStEn FoR thE MuSIc", since they haven't debuted yet. Absolutely telling on yourself.
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