If you make your own 2024 Electoral College map, and you get it right (or almost right), you get 1,000 Akorns.

There are less than 100 days left until Election Day. 95 days left to be exact. Go.

Quote from JiminieKookie

IDK shit about the USA-Elections but I hope Camila Harris wins, cause Trump is the totally wrong guy for that job

I was talking about using an interactive map to predict what states will be won by the Republican and Democrat:

270towin map.png

Quote from JiminieKookie

ok and what color is yellow for now?

Yellow is always the color for a third party candidate on that website (but the third party candidate could be a member of the Libertarian Party, Green Party, and so on)

Quote from TheHeretic

AZ remains vulnerable for Republicans.

I have doubt for AZ. I don't know if Kamala or Trump will win it.

Quote from TheHeretic

Neither side can get a runaway Electoral College victory this time.

I don't get what you mean by this. RFK Jr (independent) is not on the ballot on all 50 states and DC, and he has bad polling just like every other third party candidate.

Quote from TheHeretic

Just that the EC will be close. Neither side is going to get 350+ EC votes.

Yeah I think that'll likely happen.

4NIA4 What's your guess using the Electoral College map?

Quote from 4NIA4

Your not going to like it, I don't predict Elections. Wth, for the fun of it.

Based on the Media's jig is up before the Election. Harris is a lunatic.

R2B2024.jpg

Third party candidates haven't carried a single state since 1968.

1968 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

It's been Republican vs. Democrat since the 19th century, so make a map with just the Republican nominee vs the Democratic nominee.

Quote from 4NIA4

idk California could go for Kennedy. GOP and Independents collaborate and vote for independent out numbers Dems.

Same with Washington.
Harris is too far out to even consider marginally acceptable. TDS now is the same as TDS then and is all found to be false.

It might not happen this time, the GOP/IDP collaborative idea is planted. If the Dems keep putting out these types of candidates, It'll happen.

Kennedy's polling is too low.

Quote from 4NIA4

R2B2024.jpg

I think it'll be like this:

The reason why I put Florida as "Likely Republican" is because Florida is usually won by the Republican nominee for president, but Obama of the Democratic Party carried Florida in both 2008 and 2012.

Quote from 4NIA4

Presently overall it is a disruptive vote more than trying to win the election. It would be a significant recognition of a third party. More then third parties have gotten before. Who knows in a few election cycles, it can evolve to be a national contender.

Look how the French election went. Three political parties, where two parties collaborated to win over a majority party.

The last major third party candidate (in this case, independent candidate Ross Perot) didn't win a single electoral vote, but he won enough votes to cause a spoiler effect in the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections.

Other countries use the Electoral College but in a different way when you compare it to the United States.

Quote from 4NIA4

R2B2024.jpg

That map confused me because Democrats have always been blue, and Republicans have always been red in the Electoral College map.

Quote from Popper-of-Ks

The sheer delusion of that map confused me until I realized who posted it.

Third party candidates don't have a chance to cause the spoiler effect this year. Maybe we'll see some faithless electors on Election Day just like in 2016.

Quote from 4NIA4

Its how the website map generator does the colors.

https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php

Photoshopped mapR2B2024b.jpg

Try this because this looks more modern. That Electoral College map generator looks like it was made with a Windows application from the 1990s or something similar.

Blank 2024 Electoral Map - 270toWin

2024 electoral map that starts at 0-0, with all states shown as undecided.

www.270towin.com

Quote from 4NIA4

Going for the newly enlightened scenario.

No third party candidate is in all 50 states.

The closest third party candidate to being in all 50 states are Chase Oliver of the Libertarian Party and Jill Stein of the Green Party.

Chase Oliver is on the ballot in 36 states, and Jill Stein is on the ballot in 24 states.

Third-party and independent candidates for the 2024 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

I think this would be completely accurate to your views (without any third party candidate involved):

StelloMomoDay Do you wanna make your own Electoral College map? 1,000 Akorns if you get it right or almost right

Quote from StelloMomoDay

I'll make one soon

Here ya go

Post

RE: If you make your own 2024 Electoral College map, and you get it right (or almost right), you get 1,000 Akorns.

[…]

Try this because this looks more modern. That Electoral College map generator looks like it was made with a Windows application from the 1990s or something similar.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/blank-2024-electoral-map

bethesda

Aug 4th 2024

Quote from Fansamy

If the Native Americans go on horseback again like last time for Biden, AZ might go for Harris again:

https://www.npr.org/sections/l…lip-arizona-for-democrats

Thought that was nice, as they had to travel very far to be able to vote.

There's something called Republicans for Harris. Have you heard about that? That might help Harris win Arizona.

Political pundits mark Arizona as a "toss-up" "swing state" or something when it comes to polling.

TheHeretic  4NIA4 Do you want to try again? Here's the 2024 consensus map. Unlimited tries until election day!

2024 Consensus map.png

Keep in mind that some states are obviously Republican like Alaska just like some states are obviously Democratic like California.

Quote from TheHeretic

Why did you put Kamala Harris as the winner of all of Maine's 4 electoral votes? Maine splits its electoral votes.

Look at Maine in 2016:

ElectoralCollege2016.png

Look at Maine in 2020:

ElectoralCollege2020.png

Did her chances of winning all of Maine's electoral votes improve or something? The last time that either a Democrat or Republican won all of Maine's electoral votes was in 2012:

ElectoralCollege2012.png

Quote from TheHeretic

270ToWin.jpg

It's SURPRISING how you got ALMOST ALL THE SWING STATES RIGHT!

The only swing states you got wrong are Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Maine.

Michigan and Pennsylvania were won by Trump, and 3 of Maine's electoral votes were won by Harris, with 1 electoral vote of Maine being awarded to Trump.

Quote from TheHeretic

Trump had a great organization in PA but I am still surprised he managed to overcome the big-time fraud in Detroit and win MI. Other states voted as expected.

Kamala Harris would've had a better organization in PA if she chose Josh Shapiro for VP.

Trump won MI probably because of Protect The Vote. You've probably heard of it.

https://protectthevote.com/

That's the website in case you don't know what it is.