I think what most people here forget is the judges vote is literally 40% basically it's all up to them.
I think it's coming down between ITZY and Twice and they both have good digitals and physicals sales. If the judges vote go to one of them they won this category.
For me ITZY should win since they worked hard this year with mutliple comebacks, concerts and so on. Fingers crossed Judges vote for ITZY.