A Thought-Provoking Analysis of Aespa Instagram Follower Counts

  • It's interesting cause Karina also leads massively with fancam views as well, I think she's just generally really popular with non-stans hence the bigger following

    That crown could've gone to Winter during BM-Savage but she's kinda doesn't really have a personality or presence as engaging as Karina's which was why I suspect the latter eventually surpassed her after Girls

  • as expected Karina is a wall

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  • Add to that, i think Winter doesnt have a big fanbase but she has many casual interest. Seeing how many of her fancam went viral during each of the era (starting from Savage)


    Winter this cold vibe which is polarising. Some may like this kind of vibe while others may find she is like robot / emotionless on stage. But in actual fact, she is introvert and she is only comfortable around her members. Karina's personality is more appealing

  • Winter this cold vibe which is polarising. Some may like this kind of vibe while others may find she is like robot / emotionless on stage. But in actual fact, she is introvert and she is only comfortable around her members.

    Are the other members extroverts then?

  • Those charts you whipped up showing the daily changes in followers for each member and the total follower count over time? Genius move! It really helps paint a picture of how their online presence has grown since they first opened those accounts back in May. It's wild to see how each member's following has blossomed over the past six months, isn't it? Definitely makes you wonder what's driving all that engagement.

  • It's now been a full year since Aespa members' Instagram accounts were announced, so I figured that some updated charts would be appropriate:


    AespaIG_Change_20240521.png


    AespaIG_Total_20240521.png


    Some thoughts and observations:

    • We saw a small spike in followers after the release of Drama in November 2023. So far, the release of "Supernova" hasn't changed follower counts that much, but we'll see if that changes once the actual album is out at the end of this month.
    • It's remarkable how closely Ningning and Giselle's follower counts have tracked. In fact, on K-Pop Radar, Ningning is ranked #127, while Giselle is #129. What is the reason for this similarity in followers?
      • I had thought that Ningning would start growing her lead over Giselle in November 2023 (see how their lines diverge for a bit), but that never really came to fruition.
    • More interestingly, in late December 2023, we see that Winter began significantly increasing her lead over Ningning and Giselle. What could have caused this?
    • Around the end of 2023, Karina's rate of follower additions also increased considerably. Again, what could have caused this?
      • Karina saw an even larger spike in followers in early February this year. Do we know why?
    • Speaking of Karina in general, how is she that much more popular than the rest of her teammates? I still don't quite understand it.
      • Is it even remotely possible that another Aespa member will take the lead from Karina?
      • I will also note that Karina's follower count surpassed that of Aespa itself in mid-March this year. So is she now "bigger than her group"?
    • Karina's dating news came out on February 27th this year. Do you find it surprising that the news had no apparent effect on her popularity?
    • As Karina continues to dominate her peers by such huge margins, will this cause internal strife or jealousy within Aespa, which could harm the group?

    Edited 2 times, last by wsoet ().

  • So far, the release of "Supernova" hasn't changed follower counts that much, but we'll see if that changes once the actual album is out at the end of this month.

    I may have spoken too soon. All the members did see a spike in followers once "Supernova" began getting more popular.

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