Ive was unexpected for me, ngl. Their spotify global results are amazing. Sakura stans were swearing she's super popular in China compared to Wonyoung, but the girl snatched the crown. After like is debatable to many, but its results are better than LD for now. I expected big 3 companies to release the next gen leader only for 2/3 of them to get mid results? Not another non big 3 group outdoing them.
Nmixx is out of the question because jyp is incompetent and they can't handle success in the long run.
SM acts NEVER had international popularity the way BP, Bts, and Jyp(Rain, WG billboard top 10, Straykids and bubbling under, Twice and their 100k concert tickets&20k stadium in the USA in May) had, which is why I don't think Aespa will be the Blackpink of their generation SM wants them to be. Even their national hit never made any noise outside Korea. Heavy promotions in the states didn't show any growth and they were out of global the next day & decline in Melon with top 20 while Ive debuted top 50&top 10 Melon. That's not top group behavior
Newjeans? I don't see the hype internationally. Maybe they will surprise us and be the dark horse, so who knows.
Ygngg has bp sister tag that alone will get them huuuuge attention overseas and in SK. Korea loves yg music despite their scandals and yg won't let them loose international audience, so I feel like their music will resonate with everybody. They will most likely also promote them individually, so another win for the group.