A korean youtuber actually talked about it. They said that they have a journalist 'source' that has an insight on this topic and that the government wants BTS to be exempted. And they are doing a bunch of these polls to gauge the % like if the public is overwhelming against it-- then they won't push it and if it's the other way around then they will exempt BTS.
So far, the votes are divided but not overwhelmingly against the exemption. If this miraculously push through and someone took the bullet for BTS in the government officials, then BTS will most likely do the alternative service that the media is talking about. They also said that HYBE already prepared for the worst (meaning enlistment). I have a feeling we'll hear some valuable news about this military sh+t soon now that Jin's bday is coming up in like 3 months.
Yeah it is pretty obvious that the government does not want them to serve going by all the moves the government is making. Let's see if they have the courage to grant BTS alternative service at the least.