Yes, it has become very silo-ed. Fandoms and their groups. Maybe a new formula is needed, to judge whether GP is truly interested or not.
ULs and physicals are the 2 sets of data that can be used.
While all fans don't necessarily buy physicals, it can be said most physicals are bought only by fans.
So something like ULs-Physical sales = non-fans, maybe use 1st 24 hours or 1st week period.
Digimons are those whose (1st week ULs-physicals) is the largest in the industry.
** Physicals - imply any merchandise associated with a release other than the digital song(s) - could be NFTs in the future.
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It's not just kpop that is being impacted, you see it with kdramas and their OST's as well.
You used to get huge OST's/kdramas every year and now shows with 20%+ ratings struggle to get more than one big song if they even get that. People are cord cutting more and more and switching to OTT services whereas before the main option was watching a drama on TV and then everyone would hear those songs and they'd get big.
Exactly why variety show promotion used to be so important and impactful. Shows like Running Man and Knowing Bros were responsible for a lot of viral moments for the 2nd/3rd gen that pushed them to another level. Jennie on Running Man, Sana's Cheese Kimbap on Knowing Bros being standouts for the 3rd gen. Everyone used to tune in regardless of demographic so the top 2nd and 3rd gen groups have a lot of name recognition with the public.
The TV crowd now that push ratings are the older population who don't normally impact the charts or success a huge amount whereas the young adults/teens are on Youtube, Netflix and the like, so there's a large divide now in a lot of media that didn't exist before. I'd say the last show to have a semi-successful OST all around was Our Beloved Summer and its rating rarely got above 5% but it was very popular on Netlfix Korea, so was driven on the charts by the young adult population on Netflix.
Success for songs and kdramas are so different now to what they used to be. Achieved in different ways and showcased in different ways also. It's why I'm finding the term "national hit" a bit outdated these days as well as there's no easy way to judge it anymore. Consumption is now divided all over the place
The Gaon chart channel did a video on physicals versus digitals recently. It would be really interesting if you could see SK specific sales but I don't think we'd ever get that data and international fans probably make it impossible with the non-shipped back nonsense and whatnot.