Just stating
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If you really want facts..... Aespa has a higher chance to be more successful for longer. The reason is simple. There is a 7 year gap between them and Red Velvet, and they will get the full support of SM until they release a new group, which may not be for some time. They've also got at least 5 more years on their current contract.
On the other hand, Itzy are sandwiched between Twice who just renewed, and NMixx who just debuted. In addition, they've got SKZ as well to focus on, and how many Twice solos. They've also only got 3 and a half more years on their current contract.
The last reason is not a drag at Itzy, so don't take it the wrong way, but Itzy is a dance focused performance group. Dance skills will not age as well as vocals - just simple facts.
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