is there a chance for next level soty if bts does not attend mama?

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    Well if the judges are objective they should choose NL over butter because Next Level had more impact than butter in korea


    And NL will win the 20% of digital considering their gaon points are better than butter


    Butter can win physicals and international chart who are 10% each


    But objectively even if BTS attend aespa should win

    don't trust awards, they may go to anyone

    Butter already has 50% out of 60 in numbers. Next Level is close to 25%.

    Even if aespa get the most votes from judges, BTS need less than half of the number of judges that voted for aespa to vote for them. If aespa get 10 votes and BTS get 5, BTS win.

    MAMA don't have any beef with BTS or HYBE so it is very unlikely they will snub BTS even if they don't attend. But BTS will most likely attend. That's why MAMA has kept the award show very late this year. They scheduled it depending on BTS' schedule.

    the number are irrelevant, Mnet will give the awards to whoever they wants. Remember Signal

    i wish people would stop acting like aespa (and NCT) can only win if BTS don't attend or if the awards are rigged. they stand a fair chance to win on their own merits.

    Quote from Deep-Fried Red Whine Bear (596)

    i wish people would stop acting like aespa (and NCT) can only win if BTS don't attend or if the awards are rigged. they stand a fair chance to win on their own merits.

    At least aespa has proper hit song so they stand a chance. The same can't be said about nct (we need to define which nct unit you talked about) who only has physical and the number didn't differ that much from the rest of the competition.

    Actually no, Celebrity has the double of both of their Gaon points and hence will take the 30 percentage to herself

    Butter and Next Level are not the far off in the Digital Points criteria the difference is about 1-2%


    Based on Korean Digitals alone it goes Celebrity >>>>>> Next Level > Butter


    Butter has the upper advantage of global music, and physical sales so will dip the scale to it

    Now the judges can over rule the stats to Aespa if they want to focus on the Korean impact, so they stand a chance there


    So no objectively, Aespa is not the clear winner, its a close battle and going t either will be deserved

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