If Newjean can get around 80M around the end November. They have a chance.
so how to get 80M?
Attention need to like Love Dive, Hype Boy + Cookie need to have a total of Eleven.
I think it depend on how much IVE can get at the end of November.
They are already at 90M and each day, they are gaining around 500k uls per day. I assume they will get average 450k at the end of November.
They will get around 135 - 140M at the end of November.
That mean Newjean got 80M at the end of November is like 55% - 60%.
55% - 60% is not going to win IVE. IVE voting and judge is not going to be 0 and mostly likely winning them as well.
Unless they got massive number in vote and around 70% of total number, otherwise, I don't see the possibility for them to win.
For that being said, newjean need very number on their track like average of 700k uls until thhe end of November to win and afterlike need to free fall on chart for them to have a chance to win.